Donald Trump thought he had the Presidential Election all wrapped up. But Democrats pulled off a coup against Joe Biden. And Donald Trump’s heart sank when he saw these bad polls. As American Patriot Daily reports:
The New York Times/Siena battleground polls consistently showed Donald Trump holding a healthy lead over Joe Biden.
But after Joe Biden dropped out of the race the media flipped the switch and launched a propaganda campaign to reintroduce Kamala Harris as a combination of Taylor Swift, Margaret Thatcher and Barack Obama.
Unprecedented media bias and North Korean-style state media coverage turned the polls on a dime.
The latest batch of New York Times/Siena polls show Harris holding identical 50-46 percent leads over Trump in the “blue wall” battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Deleted previous tweet but anyway New York Times Siena Polls Harris 50 Trump 46 Across each of WI PA MI Likely votershttps://t.co/aSXnNvFvE2
— Chris (@chriswithans) August 10, 2024
Kamala Harris must win all three if she has a path to 270 Electoral College votes.
If Donald Trump can flip Georgia, Nevada and Arizona then he only needs to win one.
These are all must-win states.
And the new status quo of the race further energized Democrats.
But both Republican and Democrat strategists threw cold water on the Times/Siena polls.
Conservative commentator Ryan James Girdusky noted that the internals of the polls showed demographic splits on the vote that aren’t based in reality.
Girdusky said these polls showing Harris with a growing lead over Trump were likely the result of response bias where energized Democrats – specifically liberal white women – were more likely to respond to pollster phone calls since they were all caught up in the momentum of the campaign swinging their way.
“The NY Times/Siena polls are very high quality but I see some very big problems: Trump isn’t losing seniors by 12 Harris isn’t tied with white voters Trump’s margin with non-college whites is in the 30s, not 13. I’d guess there’s some over sampling among older liberal women,” Girdusky posted on X.
Likewise, former Obama chief strategist David Axelrod – who previously said the initial excitement behind the Harris surge resulted from “irrational exuberance” – said the polls also likely suffered from response bias.
Axelrod also gave a peak behind the curtain saying the highest quality internal polls – i.e. the ones from the Harris campaign – showed tied races in the Midwest battleground states.
“As for NYT polls in PA, MI and WI today, some of the internal numbers seem improbable–42% for Harris among non-college whites, for one eg. If you adjust for them, you’re probably looking at basically tied races (maybe a tick better for Harris in WI), which is where most, private, high-quality polling has them,” Axelrod wrote.
