Democrats are already measuring the drapes in anticipation of victory in November.
But Democrats got smacked upside the head with some really bad news.
And that’s because the secret weapon that could save Republicans in November has Democrats running scared.
As Conservative Reboot reports:
The Real Clear Politics polling average shows Democrats hold a 5.8% lead on the question of which party Americans want to see in control of Congress.
That’s a big enough lead for Democrats to flip the four seats necessary to yank the majority away from Republicans.
Even establishment Republican bigwigs are throwing in the towel.
Billionaire donor and Citadel founder Ken Griffin told CNBC the House was already lost to Republicans.
“It’s almost a certainty the democrats will take the House,” Griffin stated. “That’s the nature of almost every election cycle: the House seats swing in favor of the opposing party. The Senate will be the big battleground in this midterm. The republicans will almost certainly keep the Senate, but that will be the political battleground in this election cycle.”
But the political realignment that Donald Trump ushered in when he first won in 2016 isn’t done sorting out.
Black voters have long formed the bedrock of the Democratic Party coalition, and Democrats usually win about 90 percent of the black vote.
In the 2024 election, however, Trump won 20 percent of black males thanks to a backlash against the Democratic Party ignoring their concerns to instead pursue open borders and inflationary socialist spending.
Polls show Trump has held those gains heading into the 2026 election.
“Trump surged to an average near 20% approval among Black voters in the first quarter of 2025, nearly double his approval at the same point in his first term, according to Gallup,” Axios reported.
Fewer black Americans are also identifying as Democrats.
“The share of Black adults identifying as or leaning Democratic fell from 77% in 2020 to 66% in 2023 — roughly an 11-point drop,” Axios reported.
The administration credited the Trump agenda for locking in these gains.
“President Trump was proud to receive historic support from the black community in 2024, and he is working around the clock to deliver for them,” White House spokeswoman Allison Schuster told Axios.
Experts who study the black vote explained that younger black voters are decades away from the Civil Rights movement and no longer feel a natural affinity to the Democratic Party, as they are now taking stock of what the political parties are delivering in the current day.
“The numbers we’re seeing now are higher than they were eight years ago — but Black voters were a different kind of voter coming out of the Obama presidency,” Theodore Johnson, a senior advisor at New America, told Axios.
“When you detach partisan identity from racial identity, you get more Black voters willing to take a chance on a Republican,” Johnson added. “That’s not a realignment. It’s more political free agents.”
If Democrats can no longer count on a guaranteed 90 percent of the black vote, then all assumptions about the 2026 election may get tossed out the window.
