The state of the 2024 race is rapidly shifting.
Democrats are feeling whiplash.
And Kamala Harris felt a sense of impending doom over these horrible numbers.
The public polls show the 2024 election is as close as can be.
According to the Real Clear Politics polling average, neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris leads any of the seven battleground states by more than 1.4 points.
That means every state’s within the margin of error and no one should be surprised if either candidate won a decisive Electoral College victory.
That’s at least what the public polls show.
The private polls tell a different story.
Private polls are often more robust and more accurate than public polls because it costs tremendous amounts of money to achieve the response rates necessary to get a representative sample across race, gender, age, income, education, and geographic location.
Journalist Mark Halperin was the reporter who broke the scoop that Joe Biden would drop out of the Presidential race on July 21.
Halperin is back with another blockbuster.
On a streaming show he hosts on the 2way platform, Halperin said his reporting from conversations with both Democrats and Republicans with access to high quality public polling found Kamala Harris’ numbers in a freefall across the battlegrounds.
Both Democrats and Republicans agreed that Donald Trump stood a strong chance to win the election.
“Here’s how I framed it this morning in my newsletter. The conversation I’m having with Trump people and Democrats with data are extremely bullish on Trump’s chances in the last 48 hours. Extremely bullish,” Halperin stated.
Halperin said the trajectory of the polls put Kamala Harris on track to lose at least six of the seven battlegrounds.
“We think of the seven battleground states, which ones is Harris in danger of losing? I would say Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia. I’m not saying she’ll lose all six, but she’s in danger,” Halperin continued.
“The only one that the Democrats say she’s not in danger of losing is the one I never say the name of because I can’t pronounce it. But it’s where Las Vegas is, right? You guys agree with me? She could lose any of those six, right? I mean, she could lose all seven, but Democrats will tell you they’re worried about those six. They’re less worried about the seventh,” Halperin added.
Halperin said the feeling on the Republican side was 180 degrees the opposite, where the Trump team believed it could win all seven.
“I don’t know any Trump person who says they’re worried about losing any of the seven. They don’t know that, they don’t necessarily think they’re the favorite in Michigan and Wisconsin, but they’re not worried about losing them,” Halperin explained.
Halperin said the polls didn’t show Trump in the lead in all seven swing states, but that the campaign’s polls showed that even in the states where Trump was down, Trump was gaining ground and closing in on Kamala Harris.
“There’s not, you don’t hear from them, “Oh my goodness.” What you hear is, “We’re moving up.” What the three of us are hearing, “We’re moving up in those two, we’re going to win. We’re going to win the three Sunbelt states. And we’re stronger in Pennsylvania than she is,” Halperin declared.
Halperin told his audience to ignore the national polls.
The name of the game was winning 270 Electoral College votes.
And Halperin reported that the current state of the internal polls showed Kamala Harris’ path to 270 narrowing drastically.
“That to me, if the whole thing’s about the Electoral College, you take any of the Rust Belt states away from her, it’s very difficult for her to win. Very difficult. It’s not mathematically impossible, but it probably won’t happen if she loses any of them,” Halperin remarked.
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