Clarence Thomas is the longest serving justice on the United States Supreme Court.
Thomas’ future is the subject of much speculation.
And Clarence Thomas’ retirement announcement just got tossed this big curveball.
The polls – both public and private – show the election moving in Donald Trump’s favor.
But Trump’s ability to pass his agenda and confirm nominees depends on control of the Senate.
Thomas and Samuel Alito are the two oldest justices on the bench.
Since Trump can only serve one term, there is added pressure on Republicans to win the Senate so they can confirm younger replacements.
Given the fact that Trump’s first three appointees – Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett – are in their 50s, adding two new Trump appointees will cement a conservative majority on the court for the next 25-30 years.
Republicans need to win two Democrat-held seats to take the majority in the Senate and confirm Thomas and Alito’s replacements.
CNN’s Harry Enten broke down the latest polling in key Senate races and found nothing but bad news for Democrats.
West Virginia’s Joe Manchin is retiring.
Given the state’s deep red hue, with Donald Trump at the top of the ticket and its Governor Jim Justice – even though he’s a Mitch McConnell-style RINO – running for Senate, it’s a mortal lock the GOP will flip that seat.
And in Montana, Republican challenger Tim Sheehy holds an eight point lead over Democrat Senator Jon Tester according to the latest New York Times/Siena poll.
The polls for Tester are only getting worse as political gravity in ruby red Montana sets in.
Enten told CNN host Kaitlin Collins that Democrats tried to play offense in two longshot races – Senate contests in Texas and Florida – to offset the losses in Montana and West Virginia.
“You mentioned West Virginia audios, Joe Manchin is retiring. That’s going to the Republicans. Then essentially you have these three races that have been keeping an eye on Montana obviously, Jon Tester trailing in the polling, right? What do we see? Texas, Florida, both out today, two different polls out. What do we see? Republicans ahead there,” Enten stated.
But Enten reported that the Times/Siena polls showed Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Florida Senator Rick Scott leading their Democrat challengers by healthy margins.
There are also no polls anywhere that show any Republican incumbent losing.
And that led Enten to go as far as any TV election analyst can go to declare the race of the Senate over and say it’s “likely going Republican.”
“The bottom line is Democrats have to win one of those seats most likely the in order to maintain control, and they’re not really all that close in any of them. I think that really paints the picture. It’s dire times for Democrats who want to keep Senate control at this particular hour when it comes to the House, Senate, Presidential. I feel most confident saying that the Senate is most likely going Republican,” Enten said.
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